Wednesday, 24 December 2014
Sunday, 21 December 2014
Excerpts of Ray Dalio's ideas
This week we shall look at Ray Dalio's ideas from presentations of how he thinks things work.
Take a look at the links: (How the economic machine works.)
Link: (Principles)
http://www.bwater.com/Uploads/FileManager/Principles/Bridgewater-Associates-Ray-Dalio-Principles.pdf
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Feel free to ask questions and make comment.
FII
Tuesday, 16 December 2014
Dividend Weighted Investing
A couple of days ago I was browsing www.msn.com/en-us/money and
while on the site an old investment idea clicked to me. Dividend weighted
investment. This is an approach of identifying stocks that make dividend
payout with regular frequency and giving special attention to those stocks exclusively.
I checked the
New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and found over four hundred (400) stocks that paid
dividends ranging from .5% to above 10% in some cases and with a 3%-4% yield on
stock price an average with these dividend payouts. Most of the dividend
payout/stock price yields were better than saving interest rate and treasury
rate of returns.
Yes, I know people
will argue that stocks are risky and there is a chance of suffering permanent
loss of capital, but banks go bust and governments default on their promised to
pay you a particular rate of return on the money loaned to them, only later to
hear that you have to take proverbial haircut, (they operating more like
Ali-"barber"). So I say that to suggest that risk is everywhere. Even
if you plant a garden the weed will eat your fruits.
Exchange Traded Funds
are now being designed using this strategy or approach to compile portfolios. Take a
look at www.wisdomtree.com/dgrw/
See link on the
dividend aristocrats: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BKyUKGp27FA
Dividend weighted
investing can be a strategy or an investment approach.
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ten of your friends.
Feel free to ask
question or make comment.
FII
Sunday, 14 December 2014
Investment Dry Powder
In
one of Berkshire Hathaway Chairman's letter in the earlier years written by
Warren Buffett, he told a story, as he usually does, about his investment
approach. He mentioned the loaded "shot gun wait" for a slow moving
elephant as he sits waiting patiently. In last year’s letter he promised a
return to the investment jungle as he had dry powder, but couldn't find a slow
moving elephant fast enough to allocate his ever growing cash intake.
Dry powder is really referring to
gun powder in a financial sense, but cash is the investment substitute
for dry powder.
Link (Dry Powder video)
You have to have dry powder to
invest.
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friends.
Feel free to ask question and
make comment.
FII
Saturday, 13 December 2014
Useful investment information blog
I have found this blog most useful: www.valuewalk.com, you should subscribe.
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FII
share elguard.blogspot.com and like elguard.blogspot.com
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FII
share elguard.blogspot.com and like elguard.blogspot.com
Friday, 12 December 2014
Keep your investment approach simple
Keep your investment approach simple and you will be find in the long run. With that said; today I am keeping it real simple with a Charlie Munger (Link)
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FII
Tuesday, 9 December 2014
Top 5 things to nailing a great investment opportunity
No matter how much we read about investment opportunities, most
times by the time these opportunities are made public and we hear about them
the opportunity is already gone. I am going to brief today with my blog. So
here we go with the top five things to nailing a great investigation.
- Focus on the most important things first.
- Set up the conditions for which you will make or take an investment opportunity.
- Make space and time
- Investing is not a Theme Park
- Remember Mr. Risk in any business opportunity
Often times we want to examine an investment opportunity and we
spend too much time trying to make it perfect by scouring for every single detail
you can find. There comes a time when too much information start having
diminishing return. Worrying about the investment is not going to help either.
Find the margin of safety and go for the opportunity.
Design a framework of the conditions for which you want to engage
your time and money. Make these conditions suitable for you and the other
parties and leave some room to negotiate bearing in mind the margin of safety.
Don't be a hard ass on every single things remember that an opportunity is not
prescription for saving your life so you can walk away from it if it doesn't
suits you.
Review your first impression of the investment opportunity and
kill your biases. Be rational about the possible outcome and make sure that you
the space in you capital deployment and the time to monitor the investment. It
does not have to be something that you look at every day, but you got to check
on it room time to time. Warren Buffett sells some of his investment at times,
and he does so when right from and don't listen to him, because he watches them
like a hawk, he just doesn't do the heavy lifting as long as the operators send
the run off to him. Sam Carpenter wrote a book titled; Work the
System, you can download it for free here http://www.workthesystem.com/. Work out a system
that serves your space and time.
An investment opportunity is not a theme park and cannot be the
only idea of an opportunity on your mind if it is in real estate,
stocks or gas stations. While you want to stay in your circle of competence,
explore and grow your competence not only outside the box, but also in a
different box to mitigate your risk to any single business. You can
concentration on a few things at the same. How many things get concentrated on
when having sex? Think about it. You get the point; it is the same thing
picking a business opportunity. You want to come to the reality, you want to
feel the joy of owning a great business, you the returns to run off on you, etc
etc.
Don't slavishly stick to one strategy to the point of exhaustion. This link you to an older posting: http://elguard.blogspot.com/2014/10/top-four-investment-decisions-that-lead.html
There is an element of risk in anything you do, but don't allow
risk to paralyze you whether by act of omission or commission. Did you hear the
story about the one horse race? He was a sure winner until he jumped the fence.
He never passed the winner post. Accept that not every opportunity will work
out, you will get burn. I have never seen a carpenter who uses a hammer who
doesn't knows what it feels like to hammer his fingers. So nail with care or
should I say hammer down with care.
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Feel free to ask any quest and make comments.
FII
Sunday, 7 December 2014
Understanding Deep Value Investing...
Understanding deep value investing in the way Tobias Carlisle sees
it: (Link)
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comments.
FII
Wednesday, 3 December 2014
Cloning the Rich
This
"getting rich" conservation is not an obsession, but with no focus on
the attention to these details of cloning the rich as would a Xerox copier
reproducing a document, no financial success can come your way hence the
conversation. The basic of "getting rich" story start from the
lessons of old Algamish and repeated by Arkad from the city of Babylon. How
ironic, the city of "Babylon".
All of this value comes at no cost to you, but speaking of
value, I must not allow this opportunity to escape me without sharing the sage advice
of Benjamin Graham with you too. You can find his words of wisdom in the Securities Analysis by
Benjamin Graham and Graham Dodd.
I cannot
imagine talking about those eminent dead (i.e. Algamish, Arkad and Benjamin
Graham) and not speak about the great investors alive today; the story of
cloning the rich would be incomplete. The lessons of cloning the rich are
available for free on Warren Buffet's company's website Berkshire Hathaway in his letters to shareholders; you
too can have his wisdom and befriend his knowledge while he is alive.
You can
scuttlebutt on these things with ten of your friends and see how that fairs
out. But before you go let us befriend one more eminent dead. I bring you
Phillip Fisher. You may need to learn some things from his book Common Stocks from Uncommon Profit.
The last thing to say is: go do the work for yourself, you
cannot get anywhere without exerting energy for yourself. Stop putting off
learning and earning for you.
Cloning the rich is a good thing to copy. Ever wonder what
would happen without the Xerox copier?
Some of the finest things in comes for free and cloning is
an easy way out.
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Feel free to ask any question and make comments.
FII
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